29 Sept 2025
The cryptocurrency market celebrates Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high of $112,000, influenced by significant news, institutional accumulation, and broader economic factors. Despite the bullish sentiment, caution is advised due to weakening volume at current highs, with potential future market movements linked to a weakening dollar, M2 money supply, and possible shifts in Federal Reserve leadership.
Bitcoin has achieved a new all-time high of $112,000, surpassing previous resistance levels and validating the beliefs of long-term holders.
Despite Bitcoin reaching new highs, investors should exercise caution as trading volume for both Bitcoin and Ethereum is currently decreasing, indicating potential risks at these elevated price levels.
Current crypto market prices are front-running several important news developments expected in the immediate future, which are seen as significant drivers for continued price movement.
A consistent trading strategy emphasizes achieving good percentage returns on investment and favorable risk-to-reward ratios, rather than maximizing every single profit, particularly in futures trading where only a small portion (2%) of the portfolio is allocated due to market uncertainty.
Spot trading is considered the optimal approach for long-term cryptocurrency investments, while futures trading, despite its potential for substantial gains, inherently carries higher risk and necessitates careful entry and exit points.
Large institutions and 'smart money' are actively accumulating Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, as evidenced by significant capital inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, with Ethereum notably experiencing increasing daily inflows.
Ethereum's growing institutional inflows and capitalization make it easier to significantly pump its price, with a target of $8,000 to $10,000 becoming a realistic goal for this bull run, offering a potential 4x upside due to its perceived undervaluation.
Solana is also attracting institutional interest, recording $33 million in inflows within a 24-hour period, signaling its growing appeal among major investors.
President Trump extended existing tariffs until August 1st, which the market generally interpreted as a positive development, despite the simultaneous imposition of new 50% tariffs on copper and Brazil, whose full effects will not be felt until August.
President Trump and other political figures, including Senator Cynthia Lummis, are publicly demanding Jerome Powell's resignation, alleging that his policy of maintaining high interest rates is costing the United States approximately $400 billion annually.
The increasing pressure on Jerome Powell could lead to his resignation; if he is replaced by a leader favoring rate cuts, market stimulation, and money printing, this shift would fundamentally alter the market's trajectory and could trigger a widespread altcoin season.
The Ethereum Community Foundation has articulated a clear mandate to drive Ethereum's price beyond $10,000, aligning with personal price targets and reinforcing the asset's significant growth potential.
A weakening U.S. dollar consistently correlates with cryptocurrency market pumps; historically, periods when the dollar trades below its 365-day moving average have proven highly favorable for Bitcoin.
The expanding global M2 money supply and increasing global liquidity are critical factors expected to propel Bitcoin towards its long-term target.
A personal retirement target for Bitcoin is set between $150,000 and $170,000, at which point 70% of current Bitcoin holdings would be sold to secure a comfortable retirement.
Ethereum is currently trading at a local high, facing significant resistance in the $2,900-$3,000 range, an area that has historically functioned as a powerful order block.
Recommended entry points for futures trades include $2,600 for Ethereum, with $2,330 considered a deeper but less probable target, and $104,000 for Bitcoin to close a specific gap, with the aim of catching extreme extensions for better risk-to-reward ratios.
Bybit offers new users up to $30,000 in initial deposit bonuses and up to a 42% discount on trading fees.
The current crypto market pump is influenced by a weakening dollar, growing M2 money supply, and the potential for a Federal Reserve leadership change that could usher in an altcoin season.
| Insight Category | Description | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Performance | Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $112,000. | Indicates strong market momentum and validates long-term bullish sentiment. |
| Market Volume Trends | Trading volume is declining for both Bitcoin and Ethereum at current all-time highs. | Suggests caution is warranted, as decreasing volume at peak prices can precede corrections. |
| Institutional Inflows | Significant capital is flowing into Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs. | Highlights growing institutional adoption and belief in the long-term value of these cryptocurrencies. |
| Ethereum Price Targets | The Ethereum Community Foundation and personal targets project Ethereum beyond $10,000. | Implies substantial upside potential (4x) for ETH, viewing it as currently undervalued. |
| Economic Influences (Dollar Weakness) | A weakening U.S. dollar historically correlates with cryptocurrency pumps. | Drives investors into crypto as an alternative asset to hedge against dollar depreciation. |
| Economic Influences (Money Supply) | Increasing global M2 money supply and liquidity are expanding. | Expected to propel Bitcoin and the broader crypto market towards higher price targets. |
| Political Pressure (Jerome Powell) | Calls for Jerome Powell's resignation due to high interest rates are growing. | A potential change in Federal Reserve leadership to a pro-rate cut stance could significantly stimulate the market and trigger an altcoin season. |
| Trump's Tariffs | Existing tariffs extended to August 1st; new 50% tariffs on copper and Brazil announced. | Market viewed the extension positively, but new tariffs introduce future economic uncertainty for specific sectors. |
| Trading Strategy for Futures | Focus on extreme extensions for entry points to maximize risk-to-reward ratios. | Aims for higher probability of good outcomes and improved overall percentage performance in short-term trades. |
| Key Entry Levels | ETH target: $2,600 (ideal), $2,330 (deeper); BTC target: $104,000 (gap close). | Provides actionable price levels for strategic futures trading, particularly for corrections. |
