Cryptocurrency Market Update: Fed Signals, Trade Deals, and Trading Outlook

A critical market update highlights significant recent developments impacting cryptocurrency, necessitating correct positioning within the market. This report covers key news, current trades, setups, and future market expectations.

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Key Points Summary

  • Return to Dubai and Business Conclusion

    The speaker has returned to Dubai after concluding all Everdex business operations in the US.

  • Importance of Market Awareness

    Staying informed about recent market developments is crucial for correctly positioning oneself within the cryptocurrency and general markets.

  • Global Trade Deal Negotiations

    The White House has confirmed that 130 countries are negotiating trade deals with the United States, suggesting that the impact of Trump's tariffs and the trade war is largely priced into the market, although unresolved issues with Canada, Mexico, and China persist.

  • Trump's Potential Bitcoin Purchases

    There is a possibility that Trump's administration could use tariff revenue to purchase Bitcoin, indicating a serious long-term interest in cryptocurrency by the US government.

  • Federal Reserve Market Stabilization Readiness

    The Boston Federal Reserve President stated that the Federal Reserve is absolutely ready to help stabilize markets if needed, implying a potential return to quantitative easing and money printing.

  • Fed's Signal for Quantitative Easing

    The Fed has indicated that if economic data meets expectations, it would be appropriate to soon begin easing quantitative tightening and initiate money printing, which is expected to flow significantly into the crypto market, fueling a bull market continuation.

  • Producer Price Index (PPI) Inflation Data

    PPI inflation came in much cooler than expected (2.7% versus 3.3% estimated, and core PPI at 3.3% versus 3.6% estimated), demonstrating the economy's resilience and supporting the potential for interest rate reductions.

  • Powell's Address and Market Volatility

    Jerome Powell is scheduled to address inflation data and provide a general market outlook at 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time, which is expected to cause significant market volatility and potentially reveal the Fed's near-term plans.

  • Current Trading Positions

    The only active short-term trade mentioned is a small profit on Solana, with the stop-loss moved to a no-loss position. Swing and spot trades are maintained on separate accounts.

  • Overall Market Outlook

    All fundamental and news-related factors, including tariff developments and Federal Reserve policies, suggest that the current period is optimal for market participation, accumulation, and consolidation.

  • Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Targets

    Despite a positive long-term outlook, a straight ascent to $200k is not expected due to significant resistance. Breaking and stabilizing above a key resistance level could target $90k, then $100k or more. The immediate zone of interest for opening new trades is around $78,000 or slightly lower.

  • Ethereum Technical Analysis and Targets

    Ethereum's most interesting level is $1,400. Consolidation is anticipated until the Fed officially announces quantitative easing, after which a retest of $2,000, then $2,500, and further increases are expected.

  • Solana Technical Analysis and Targets

    Solana's order block zone of interest is approximately $110, indicating a potential accumulation phase.

  • Community Group Invitation

    Individuals serious about capitalizing on market opportunities are invited to join a free group for in-depth discussions, financial foundation adjustments, and capital allocation strategies not shared publicly on YouTube.

  • Bybit Promotion

    Bybit offers community members a bonus of up to $30,000 on initial deposits and up to a 42% discount on trading fees.

Overall, the time to be in the market is now, as fundamental and news-wise indicators, including tariffs and Fed actions, spell a period for consolidation and accumulation.

Under Details

insightdetails
Global Trade Deal Negotiations130 countries are negotiating trade deals with the US, indicating that the trade war's impact is largely priced in, despite remaining issues with China, Mexico, and Canada.
Trump's Bitcoin PlanThe Trump administration is considering using tariff revenues to purchase Bitcoin, highlighting a serious governmental interest in cryptocurrency.
Federal Reserve Market StanceThe Federal Reserve is prepared to stabilize markets if necessary, suggesting a readiness to implement quantitative easing (QE).
Quantitative Easing (QE) SignalsThe Fed signals that easing quantitative tightening and initiating money printing (QE) is imminent if economic data aligns, potentially fueling a bull market.
Cooler PPI Inflation DataPPI inflation came in lower than expected (2.7% vs. 3.3% estimated), demonstrating economic resilience and supporting potential interest rate reductions.
Powell's Market Outlook AddressJerome Powell's 11:30 a.m. ET address on inflation data is expected to cause significant market volatility and clarify the Fed's short-term plans.
Bitcoin Price TargetsA break above key resistance could lead to $90k, then $100k+, with a preferred accumulation zone around $78,000 or lower.
Ethereum Key LevelsThe level of $1,400 is a key interest zone, anticipating a retest of $2,000 and $2,500 after the Fed's QE announcement.
Solana Interest ZoneSolana's order block interest zone is around $110, suggesting a current phase for accumulation.

Tags

Crypto
Trading
Bullish
Fed
Trump
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