29 Sept 2025
Amid significant market volatility and regulatory shifts, an active trader discusses recent Ethereum trades, highlighting a new long position and robust institutional accumulation of ETH. Important regulatory clarity for DeFi, staking, and innovation, alongside calls for interest rate cuts, are signaling potential major shifts for the crypto market.
A previous Ethereum trade yielded a small profit before a stop-loss was triggered due to its proximity to the price. A new Ethereum trade has since been opened, with an expectation of better returns, contributing to a strategy of consistent, albeit small, profits despite occasional losses. The trading club has achieved an 82% gain on a larger deposit over the last 18 months, reflecting realistic market expectations for active trading.
Expectations of turning a modest $10,000 into a substantial amount like $250,000 for a luxury car are deemed unrealistic. The presented trading approach focuses on achievable, steady returns reflective of active market participation.
A live session is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Dubai time (6 p.m. Central European time) to discuss proper, realistic trading strategies, risk management, building an investment portfolio for a bull run with potential 5-10x returns, and utilizing a combination of tools based on market conditions and instrument volatility. This session is likely the last of its kind this year due to commitments with the Evidex launch.
Bitcoin is experiencing volatility to the downside, retesting previous all-time high levels after almost hitting a new one. Ethereum, however, is demonstrating significant strength, currently holding a crucial support level after a breakout from consolidation, despite a previous stop-loss triggered at the $2900 rejection zone. The market sits between key $2900 and $3000 resistance levels, creating opportunities for active trading.
Significant institutional accumulation in Ethereum is observed, with Ethereum support ETFs accumulating more than Bitcoin support ETFs on certain days, exemplified by BlackRock's recent $163 million purchase of ETH. This accumulation indicates a strong institutional belief in Ethereum's future.
SEC Chair Paul Atkins has declared a clear signal that DeFi (Decentralized Finance) is winning the regulatory argument. Atkins highlighted DeFi, economic liberty, property rights, and open innovation as aligned with US ideals, explicitly stating that mining, validating, and staking as a service are not securities transactions. A potential innovation exemption is also anticipated, providing fast-track legal clarity for DeFi projects.
Evidex, a hybrid model exchange built on Ethereum (using Arbitrum Orbit as an L3), is a prime example of innovation benefiting from the potential regulatory exemption. It offers transparent, safe, and self-custodial trading with lower commissions and similar latency to centralized exchanges, providing full freedom and safety. This innovation exemption would significantly ease the regulatory framework for projects like Evidex, indirectly benefiting Ethereum.
Ethereum underpins approximately 70% of the fundamental crypto ecosystem, making regulatory clarity for its core values a massive unlock for builders. The adoption of crypto-friendly policies, potentially under a Trump administration, would position the US as the global crypto capital, impacting the broader market positively and introducing staking into Ethereum ETFs.
May's inflation ticked up to 2.4% (from 2.3%, below 2.5% expectation), prompting Donald Trump to advocate for a full percentage point reduction in interest rates, arguing that current rates are unsustainable for America. The upcoming Fed press conference and Jerome Powell's decision on interest rates next week are highly anticipated for potential positive market narratives and a shift towards quantitative easing.
Despite a previous stop-out, a new small long position in Ethereum has been re-entered. Further open orders are placed to add another $100,000 at $2500 and $2300 levels, aiming for a total $300,000 position, reflecting a cautious but opportunistic approach in the current market.
Bybit offers community members up to $30,000 in initial deposit bonuses and up to a 42% discount on trading fees for new accounts created via a specific referral link. This allows users to create new accounts using alternative identification for KYC.
If current crypto-friendly policies become standard, the United States will transform into the crypto capital of the world, driven by Ethereum's regulatory clarity for staking, self-custody, and open-source infrastructure.
| Insight Category | Key Detail | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Regulatory Clarity for DeFi/Ethereum | SEC Chair Paul Atkins stated DeFi is winning the regulatory argument; mining/staking are not securities. | Huge win for Ethereum; potential innovation exemption provides legal clarity for DeFi projects like Evidex to launch. |
| Institutional ETH Accumulation | Ethereum ETFs are accumulating more than Bitcoin ETFs on certain days, exemplified by BlackRock's $163M ETH purchase. | Signals strong institutional confidence in Ethereum and suggests it is currently incredibly undervalued. |
| US as Crypto Capital | Crypto-friendly policies becoming standard, especially under a supportive administration. | The US could become the world's crypto capital, leading to massive growth and regulatory stability for the industry. |
| Ethereum's Ecosystem Dominance | 70% of the fundamental crypto ecosystem is built on Ethereum. | Regulatory shifts and positive narratives around Ethereum directly benefit the vast majority of decentralized applications and innovation. |
| Monetary Policy & Market Reaction | Trump advocates for a full 1% interest rate cut following a slightly lower-than-expected inflation tick-up. | Such a rate cut would significantly boost markets ('send them flying') and alleviate national debt interest burdens. |
| Evidex Innovation | Evidex is a hybrid decentralized exchange (built on Ethereum) offering transparent, self-custodial, low-fee trading. | Benefits from potential innovation exemption, providing a safer and freer alternative to centralized exchanges, with a public mainnet launch anticipated within 30 days. |
