Crypto Market Analysis and Funding Rate Arbitrage Strategy Update

This analysis provides an update on Bitcoin's market signals, Ethereum's support levels, and the overall short-term outlook for altcoins like Solana, XRP, and Chainlink. Additionally, it details a successful funding rate arbitrage trading strategy that yielded significant profits over a few days.

image

Key Points Summary

  • Bitcoin Weekly Super Trend and Bearish Divergence

    The weekly Bitcoin Super Trend indicator remains green, signaling a larger bull market, but a new bearish divergence has been reconfirmed with the latest weekly candle close, indicating a loss of bullish momentum without yet confirming a bear market.

  • Bitcoin Daily Price Action and Fractals

    Bitcoin's daily price chart exhibits fractal price action, similar to early this year, featuring a bearish divergence, a decent pullback, a double bottom (W pattern) breakout, an all-time high rejection, a major dump, and subsequent sideways consolidation.

  • Bitcoin Short-Term Price Expectations

    In the immediate short term, Bitcoin is expected to consolidate sideways for the next one or two weeks, with significant support holding around the 107K to 109K range, but without necessarily playing out a massive bullish recovery.

  • Bitcoin Liquidation Heat Map and Price Targets

    Liquidity is accumulating around 109K to 112K and more significantly at approximately 116K; a confirmed breakout above 116K could activate a bullish price target just above 121K, representing a 4-5% upside.

  • Bitcoin Dominance Chart

    The Bitcoin dominance chart shows a slight short-term bounce, with a major rejection from the 60.5% to 61% resistance area, which typically helps altcoins, but an active bullish divergence means a bullish relief could still occur, despite strong resistance.

  • Ethereum Support and Bullish Divergence

    Ethereum maintains a crucial support area between 3.9K and 4.1K on the 3-day chart, and an active bullish divergence on the daily RSI confirms a higher low in place, suggesting a likely bullish relief over the coming days or weeks, rather than a massive surge.

  • Ethereum Resistance Levels

    Immediate resistance for Ethereum is around 4250-4280, with further resistance at 4450-4.5K and major resistance at 4680-4720; given the bullish divergence, Ethereum is likely to break above some of these resistance areas during a potential bullish relief.

  • Solana Price Action and Support

    Solana has confirmed a 2-day candle close above the important 190-200 area, which is now retesting as support, following a bounce from 170, indicating a short-term bullish outlook.

  • Solana Resistance Levels

    Short-term resistance levels for Solana are anticipated at roughly 210, 217-218, and a significant level at 230, which the price may encounter during its bullish relief.

  • XRP Bearish Divergence and Trend

    XRP continues to play out a massive weekly bearish divergence, similar to late 2020, forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating an overall bearish trend despite occasional short-term bounces from support around 230-240.

  • XRP Resistance Levels

    XRP recently rejected from a crucial resistance level around 263, with further resistance expected at 274, 288, and major resistance at 310, as it struggles to break above important points.

  • Chainlink Bearish Trend and Support/Resistance

    Chainlink remains in a larger bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows, with support around 1730-1750 and 1520-1560. It recently rejected from resistance between 19-20, with 22 being the next major resistance if that level is breached.

  • Solana Funding Rate Arbitrage Trading Strategy

    A delta-neutral trading strategy on Solana futures contracts successfully arbitraged funding rates between Bybit (negative rates) and Bitex (positive rates), resulting in a 10K USD profit in 2-3 days by earning funding fees on both long and short positions irrespective of price movement.

  • Crypto Exchange Promotions

    Promotional offers are available on Bitex and 2bit exchanges, providing trading and deposit bonuses, including up to 120,000 USDT on Bitex and up to 10,000 USD in trial funds on 2bit, with both being no-KYC exchanges accessible worldwide.

One can generate profits in the crypto market even during bearish periods by utilizing short positions and employing strategies like arbitrage funding rates, which make money regardless of price direction.

Under Details

Asset/StrategyKey IndicatorOutlookKey Levels
Bitcoin (Weekly)Bearish Divergence (Reconfirmed)Losing bullish momentum; not yet bear marketSupport ~108K, Resistance/Liquidation ~116K
Bitcoin (Short-Term)Fractal Price Action/ConsolidationChoppy sideways consolidation expectedSupport 107K-109K, Potential target >121K (if 116K breaks)
Ethereum (Daily)Bullish Divergence (Confirmed)Likely bullish relief or sideways consolidationSupport 3.9K-4.1K, Resistance 4250-4280, 4450-4.5K
Solana (2-Day/Short-Term)Breakout Above Key Area (190-200)Short-term bullish relief expectedSupport 190-200, Resistance 210, 217-218, 230
XRP (Weekly)Massive Bearish DivergenceOverall bearish trend (lower highs/lows)Support 230-240, Resistance 263, 274, 288, 310
Chainlink (Daily)Larger Bearish TrendOverall bearish trend with short-term reliefsSupport 17.30-17.50, 15.20-15.60, Resistance 19-20, 22
Funding Rate ArbitrageDelta-neutral strategy (Bybit vs. Bitex)Profitable regardless of price direction10K USD profit in 2-3 days; small opportunities remain

Tags

Cryptocurrency
Analysis
Cautious
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Solana
XRP
Chainlink
Arbitrage
Trading
Share this post