29 Sept 2025
The speaker admits a significant miscalculation regarding Ethereum's recent price action, acknowledging its unexpected surge past key technical levels. Despite taking a short-term loss on futures trades, overall portfolio performance remains positive due to strong spot holdings and a re-evaluation of future trading strategies for Ethereum.
Ethereum's price movement plowed through previously important technical resistance levels, contrary to expectations.
Ethereum demonstrated more explosive and progressive growth compared to Bitcoin, which is approaching its all-time high in a less dynamic manner.
Despite a recent miscalculation and short-term losses on futures, a 21% profit was maintained over the last 90 days, with trading results publicly displayed.
Ethereum was shorted at resistance levels of 3,920 and 3,960, resulting in a stop-out and loss that offset profits from a previous successful trade.
Combining futures and spot strategies is crucial, as spot holdings, representing 98% of the capital, doubled with Ethereum's rise and mitigated futures losses in a parabolic market.
The strong return of Ethereum ETFs and significant institutional buying, including Sharplane's acquisition of $200 million worth of Ethereum, are core drivers of its unexpected surge.
Fundamental Global filed a $5 billion shelf for an Ethereum treasury strategy, aiming for a 10% network stake, a trend initiated by Michael Saylor's corporate Bitcoin acquisitions.
Ethereum, long undervalued and underperforming, is now significantly gaining against Bitcoin, indicating potential capital shifts from Bitcoin to Ethereum.
President Donald Trump's initiative democratizes access to alternative assets for 401k investors, allowing them to purchase Bitcoin and other digital assets within their pension funds.
Arthur Hayes invested $5 million in ETH and 560,000 LDO, signaling strong confidence in these specific digital assets.
LDO, the largest staking protocol in Ethereum, is positioned as a primary beneficiary if staking is integrated into Ethereum ETFs, a coin previously recommended at a good price.
Ethereum will no longer be shorted, even locally, with the strategy shifting to exclusively seeking long setups and potentially hedging with Bitcoin shorts.
Current market setups suggest a potential retest of Ethereum's 3900 level for building long positions, while Bitcoin exhibits a recent breakout, consolidation, and retest.
Exclusive content, trades, and personal interaction are available by joining the community through Bybit or Evidex with a minimum deposit.
Companies are raising and selling and making offerings of their own stocks for billions of dollars to buy Ethereum, and it's only getting started.
| Insight | Detail |
|---|---|
| Speaker's Trading Error | Admitted being 'devastatingly wrong' about Ethereum's short-term price action, which plowed through technical resistance levels. |
| Ethereum's Explosive Growth | Ethereum showed significantly more explosive and progressive growth compared to Bitcoin's steadier rise. |
| Futures vs. Spot Strategy | Emphasized combining futures and spot holdings; spot (98% of funds) mitigated futures losses, doubling money on ETH. |
| Institutional Inflow into ETH | Ethereum ETFs are returning strong, with Sharplane acquiring $200M ETH and Fundamental Global filing for a $5B ETH treasury strategy. |
| Ethereum's Undervaluation | Ethereum has been undervalued, but is now rapidly gaining on Bitcoin, suggesting potential capital outflows from BTC to ETH. |
| 401k Access to Crypto | Donald Trump's initiative allows 401k investors to buy crypto, including Bitcoin and potentially other digital assets. |
| LDO's Strategic Importance | Arthur Hayes's ETH and LDO purchases highlight LDO (Lido DAO) as a major beneficiary if staking is integrated into Ethereum ETFs. |
| Revised ETH Trading Stance | Committed to never shorting Ethereum again, focusing exclusively on long setups and potential hedging with Bitcoin shorts. |
| Transparent Performance | Maintained a 21% profit over 90 days despite recent losses, showcasing transparent trading results to the public. |
