29 Sept 2025
Significant market shifts are currently unfolding, driven by pivotal macro and technical developments that many investors risk overlooking. Understanding these changes is crucial to capitalize on emergent opportunities and avoid being left behind in the dynamic market environment.
Monumental market shifts are occurring, influenced by macro and technical factors that require investor attention to avoid being left behind or missing potential financial gains.
A recent trade opportunity was missed due to video preparation, following a quick short trade that did not yield a profit, demonstrating transparency in sharing trading outcomes.
In low liquidity market conditions, fundamentals, including news, micro-events, and global events, are the primary drivers of price action, contrasting with bull runs where technicals typically hold more influence.
Bybit offers exclusive initial deposit bonuses up to $30,000 and a 42% discount on trading fees. The platform supports traditional finance (TradFi) trading, operates with KYC requirements, and is actively securing licenses for its Bybit EU service.
Several pivotal events are scheduled for July, including the tariff deadline on July 9th, which could reignite trade war fears, the CPI data release on July 15th, and the FOMC meeting on July 30th, which will impact interest rates and Fed rhetoric.
A highly anticipated digital asset bill (HR3633) is expected in mid-July from the US Treasury Secretary, poised to fundamentally impact the US crypto industry, operating independently from the ongoing stablecoin bill discussions.
The current market dynamics suggest that the summer period might bring significant positive developments, potentially defying traditional expectations for a quiet or downturn-prone season.
While not officially confirmed by the White House, discussions suggest a potential successor to Fed Chair Powell could emerge within weeks, possibly leading to a more rate-cut inclined policy.
Major funds are actively seeking to integrate staking into their Ethereum ETFs, a development expected to profoundly boost institutional adoption of Ethereum, which is already experiencing strong ETF inflows. Solana has received ETF approval with staking capabilities, leading to a recent price pump despite overall market weakness.
The continuous growth of the M2 money supply indicates increasing global liquidity, which historically correlates with Bitcoin price increases and suggests a personal target of $150,000 for Bitcoin. However, the current market lacks the 'free money' environment needed for significant pumps.
Despite numerous positive news developments, the market currently exhibits weakness, with prices struggling to perform, suggesting a 'buy the rumors, sell the news' behavior and a correction to liquidate over-leveraged long positions.
Key levels for potential long trades are identified at Bitcoin's daily imbalance of 104,000 and Ethereum's 2,400, aiming to clear resistance at 2,500 and target the 2,600-2,700 order block.
The current investment strategy is predominantly spot trading (99% of crypto holdings), awaiting the return of significant market volatility and liquidity ('money printer back on') to facilitate active, higher-volume trading opportunities.
Once Ethereum ETF receives staking abilities, it will completely transform the institutional narrative for buying Ethereum.
| Key_Event | Date_Estimate | Impact_Description | Asset_Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff Deadline | July 9th | Potential return of trade war fears and increased market volatility, depending on international agreements. | Global Markets, Crypto |
| CPI Data Release | July 15th | Crucial economic data influencing inflation outlook and Federal Reserve decisions. | Global Markets, Crypto |
| US Digital Asset Bill (HR3633) | Mid-July | Expected to profoundly impact the fundamentals of the crypto industry in the US. | US Crypto Industry |
| FOMC Meeting | July 30th | Significant for interest rates and Jerome Powell's rhetoric, affecting overall market sentiment. | Global Markets, Crypto |
| Ethereum ETF Staking Approval | Soon (Following Solana) | Will completely transform the institutional narrative for buying Ethereum, expected to outshine altcoins. | Ethereum |
| Solana ETF Approval with Staking | Recently (Confirmed) | Led to a price pump and demonstrates market interest in staking-enabled crypto ETFs. | Solana |
| M2 Money Supply Growth | Ongoing | Global liquidity increase, historically correlating with Bitcoin reaching targets like $150,000. | Bitcoin, Global Liquidity |
| Bybit Platform Promotions | Ongoing | Offers up to $30,000 in deposit bonuses and a 42% discount on trading fees. | Trading Platform (Bybit) |
