16 Oct 2025
Bitcoin has officially confirmed a breakout above a crucial resistance level, but is now hitting extremely overbought levels in the short term after wiping out much liquidity. A major change to the Bitcoin long position aims to generate quick profits from the upcoming move, while Ethereum and XRP face crucial resistance areas.

The super trend indicator remains green, signaling a larger bull market, but a massive bearish divergence persists on the weekly chart, which typically takes longer to play out and can include short-term bullish price action. A potential slight higher high in price could extend this bearish divergence if the RSI forms a lower high, requiring continued monitoring.
The 3-day Bitcoin MACD is nearing a bullish crossover, yet market momentum in either direction currently appears relatively neutral on these slightly larger time frames, not exhibiting massive high-momentum movements.
A breakout above the crucial resistance level of $117,000 to $118,000 has been officially confirmed with daily candle closes, making an all-time high breakout very likely, with the next major price target at $124,000. Current struggles are observed around $120,000, and a hidden bullish divergence (higher lows in price, lower lows in RSI) further supports a bullish outlook towards all-time highs.
The 4-hour Bitcoin RSI is experiencing extreme overbought conditions, leading to an expected slight short-term cool-off or pullback to reset the RSI, which is a normal occurrence and not indicative of the end of the bullish movement. As long as the price holds above $117,000 to $118,000, the bullish outlook remains strong; a confirmed break back below $117,000 would lead to questioning the bullish move and potentially trigger lower targets.
Recent price action has wiped out all targeted liquidity between $118,000 and $120,000, causing a major short squeeze where short positions were heavily liquidated over the last few days.
A long Bitcoin position, initiated at $110,000, has recently seen two small changes: the trade size was slightly reduced to take profits given the overbought conditions and approach to $120,000, and the stop loss was increased further into profits, securing approximately $6,000 USD in realized profits and $55,000 USD in unrealized profits from a $60,000 position.
For those who missed the initial entry at lower prices, a breakout above the previous high (around $116K-$117K) was identified as another potential entry point to add to or open a long position, as the price is now very likely heading towards all-time highs in the next few days or weeks.
Bitex and Two Bits are recommended no-KYC crypto exchanges for trading, offering substantial trading and deposit bonuses (up to $120,000 USDT and $200 USD on Bitex; up to $10,000 USD in trial funds and $8,000 USDT withdrawable stablecoins on Two Bits) when signing up through provided links.
Historically, October is the most bullish month for Bitcoin on record, which, combined with the current breakout and minimal resistance to all-time highs, reinforces a very bullish outlook for the coming days and weeks, despite occasional short-term cool-offs.
A short-term bullish divergence in Bitcoin dominance is currently active, suggesting a slight bullish relief for Bitcoin dominance, which implies many altcoins may slightly underperform Bitcoin while still performing similarly overall.
Ethereum has continued a major bounce from a significant support area between $3,900 and $4,100, but is currently encountering crucial resistance between $4,470 and $4,500. A confirmed daily candle close above $4,500, especially if Bitcoin continues to pump, would lead to targets of $4,600 and $4,700, with current important support levels identified between $4,250-$4,280 and $4,060-$4,100. Ethereum's price action is expected to follow Bitcoin's trend.
Solana has continued a perfect bounce from support at $190-$200 and is now testing previous resistance at $230. A breakout above $230, especially if other cryptos like Bitcoin and Ethereum continue bullish breakouts, targets $250-$260. The 12-hour RSI indicates a clear bullish trend, signifying a regaining of strength and a likely reversal out of the entire bearish move, heading towards testing highs at roughly $250 within a larger bullish trend.
A massive bearish divergence on the weekly time frame, noted since July, still influences XRP on larger time frames, but is not a short-term signal. In the shorter term, XRP has continued a perfect bounce from strong support at $270-$280 and is now testing resistance at $310-$315. A confirmed daily close above $315 would open targets of $330-$335 and indicate a potential double bottom or W pattern, similar to Bitcoin's recent breakout above $117K-$118K.
Chainlink is continuing to bounce from support at $19-$20 and has officially confirmed a daily candle close back above $22, which is now being retested as potential short-term support in the $22-$22.30 range. Sustained holding above this level would be extremely bullish, likely leading to a continued move towards $24.50 and above $25 as the next major price targets. Chainlink's price action will be heavily influenced by Bitcoin's continued bullish moves, though it might slightly underperform Bitcoin if dominance rises.
Historically speaking, October is pretty much the most bullish month for Bitcoin on record.
| Asset | Current Status | Key Levels | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | Confirmed Breakout & Overbought | Resistance: $117K-$118K (broken); Next Target: All-Time High ($124K); Support: $117K-$118K | Very bullish towards all-time highs; short-term cool-off expected due to overbought RSI, but overall trend remains strong as long as it holds above $117K. |
| Bitcoin Trading Strategy | Long Position Adjusted | Entry: $110K; Current Size: $60K (reduced from $100K); Stop Loss: Increased into profits (securing ~$2.3K USD min.) | Profits secured and continuing to hold a long position, anticipating further bullish moves towards ATH. Additional entry opportunity for those who missed the initial low entry. |
| Bitcoin Seasonality | Entering October | N/A | Historically, October is Bitcoin's most bullish month on record, reinforcing strong bullish expectations for an ATH breakout soon. |
| Ethereum | Testing Resistance | Resistance: $4.47K-$4.5K; Support: $3.9K-$4.1K, $4.25K-$4.28K | Struggling at current resistance. A confirmed breakout above $4.5K, assisted by Bitcoin's performance, targets $4.6K then $4.7K. |
| XRP | Testing Resistance & Weekly Bearish Divergence | Resistance: $310-$315; Support: $270-$280 | Struggling at resistance; a daily close above $315 could confirm a double bottom/W pattern (similar to Bitcoin's $117K breakout) targeting $330-$335. A massive bearish divergence on the weekly timeframe remains active. |
| Solana | Bouncing & Regaining Strength | Resistance: $230; Next Target: $250-$260; Support: $190-$200 | Strong bounce from support with a clear bullish trend in the 12-hour RSI, indicating regaining strength and a likely reversal of recent bearish moves. Breakout above $230, supported by Bitcoin/Ethereum, targets higher resistance levels. |
| Chainlink | Bouncing & Retesting Support | Support: $19-$20, $22-$22.30; Next Target: $24.50, $25+ | Confirmed daily close above $22, now retesting it as support. Holding above $22 is extremely bullish, likely leading to further upside, influenced by Bitcoin's continued bullish moves. |
