29 Sept 2025
A half-million dollars is strategically deployed into active crypto trades, capitalizing on current market corrections and positive macroeconomic developments. This investment targets specific entry points for Ethereum and Bitcoin, driven by technical analysis, M2 money supply trends, and anticipated liquidation events, forecasting a robust bullish market post-mid-May.
Half a million dollars is being deployed into DGEN active trades, focusing on interesting setups during a market correction. The remaining spot and swing trades remain unchanged.
A nice setup for a false break and liquidity grab is present, offering an advantage. Understanding the full context of recent news is crucial for comprehension.
Part of the investment volume will be placed on Bitget, a reliable platform comparable to Bybit with distinct features like the Bitget card for daily crypto spending. New users can claim up to $6,200 in deposit bonuses upon signup through the provided link.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI), an important inflation gauge, came in at 2.3%, slightly below the 2.4% forecast, indicating closeness to the Fed's target rate.
The US and China agreed to a 90-day tariff reduction; US cuts on Chinese imports went from 145% to 30%, and China dropped tariffs from 125% to 10%. This removes tariff uncertainty, allowing the Fed Chair to consider rate cuts.
The positive economic news (falling inflation, resolved tariff worries) is causing traditional markets to rally, suggesting a bullish long-term outlook for all markets, including crypto.
A strongly bullish stance on crypto has been maintained for the past five years, with no spot holdings sold; short trades are exclusively for short-term active trading.
M2 money supply experienced a recent dip, slightly larger than anticipated, and is currently in a zone anticipating a tiny correction before moving higher, potentially towards Bitcoin targets of $150,000 or more.
In 2025, retail investors collectively sold $250,000 worth of Bitcoin, which was subsequently purchased by governments, funds, ETFs, businesses, and smart money, highlighting the importance of holding sound assets during the early stages of a bull run.
Ethereum shows significant growth but with limited volume, facilitating easy price movement. Its current move relative to Bitcoin is tiny, indicating this is only the beginning of its potential ascent, with better entry prices and structure formation desired.
USDT dominance, which signals money flowing out of or into crypto, is expected to break downwards by 53%, indicating a significant shift of capital into crypto, potentially triggering an altcoin season comparable to previous pumps of 200-400%.
The trading strategy incorporates quantitative, statistical, historic AI analysis, and cyclical data. Acknowledging a 50% success rate, proper risk and money management are paramount, with capital deployed across active trading, spot, passive income, funding rate arbitrage, early-stage deals, and OTC deals.
For Bitcoin, interesting entry levels are 98K and 92K (CME gap and daily fair value gap). For Ethereum, key interest lies in the daily fair value gaps around 2,300 and 2,100, with specific orders set at 2270 and 2050.
Half a million dollars worth of orders have been placed for Ethereum at 2270 and 2050, and for Bitcoin at 98,000 and 92,000. The target for these active trades is breaking above $3,000 for Ethereum, possibly extending into existing swing trades.
An incredible increase in short positions over the last six months, coupled with stable funding rates (especially for Ethereum), suggests that retail investors are not yet fully in the market and are shorting more. This imbalance often drives prices towards liquidation events.
Ethereum has broken above resistance and is at a critical yellow order block level, with a next target of at least 3K. A short-term flush of leverage and correction is anticipated by May 18th to trigger entry orders, followed by continued upward movement.
Considering all the things that are so positive long-term, short-term, some liquidation events might be very useful when it comes to our trading strategy, providing a very good risk-to-reward ratio.
| Key Aspect | Summary | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Investment Strategy | $500,000 deployment in active crypto trades | Capitalizing on market corrections; existing spot/swing trades unaffected. |
| Market Outlook | Strong long-term bullish sentiment | Supported by positive CPI, US-China tariff cuts, and M2 money supply trends. |
| Economic News | Favorable CPI and Tariff Reductions | CPI at 2.3% (below 2.4% forecast); US-China tariffs cut significantly (US from 145% to 30%, China from 125% to 10%), enabling Fed rate cuts. |
| Bitcoin Entry Targets | Identified short-term entry levels | 98,000 (CME gap) and 92,000 (daily fair value gap) for active trades. |
| Ethereum Entry Targets | Identified short-term entry levels | 2,300 and 2,100 (daily fair value gaps); specific orders placed at 2270 and 2050 with a target above 3,000. |
| Altcoin Season Catalyst | Anticipated drop in USDT dominance | A 53% drop in USDT dominance is expected, signaling significant capital inflow into altcoins, potentially leading to 200-400% pumps. |
| Market Timing | Short-term correction expected | A correction is anticipated until approximately May 18th, intended to trigger entry orders, followed by a sustained upward movement. |
| Retail vs. Smart Money | Discrepancy in Bitcoin holdings | Retail investors sold $250,000 Bitcoin, which was acquired by governments, funds, ETFs, businesses, and smart money. |
| Liquidation Event Potential | Significant increase in short positions | Stable funding rates despite high shorts, particularly in Ethereum, indicate potential for a price movement to liquidate these positions, aiding bullish momentum. |
