Arasti Club's Downside-Focused Investment Strategy

The Arasti Club employs an investment strategy primarily focused on managing downside risk and controlling volatility, refined over four years through five advisory phases. This approach prioritizes capital preservation in uncertain markets, believing that effective risk control naturally leads to long-term gains.

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Key Points Summary

  • Evolution of Arasti Club's Strategy

    Over the past four years, the Arasti Club has conducted mentorship programs, evolving its advisory strategies through five distinct phases based on available tools, market dynamics, and the general knowledge level of participants.

  • Core Investment Philosophy

    The primary focus of the Arasti Club's strategy is on managing downside risk and controlling volatility, ensuring that a sudden market downturn does not lead to the complete loss of capital, as the upside naturally follows once the downside is secured.

  • Market Uncertainty and Prediction

    Financial markets are characterized by high uncertainty, and there is no 100% certainty in predictions, as unforeseen events can completely disrupt even well-analyzed positions.

  • Risk Management Tools and Techniques

    The club manages risk through various strategies, including options and dynamic hedging, aiming to control the downside similar to how hedge funds operate.

  • Ethereum Performance Case Study

    A six-month financial performance review showed that Arasti Club's managed Ethereum portfolio experienced approximately a 9.5% drawdown in the worst market conditions, significantly better than a direct Ethereum holder who faced a 54% drawdown. Subsequently, the managed portfolio achieved a 92% return during an upturn, while the direct holder gained 19%.

  • Bitcoin Performance Case Study

    In the case of Bitcoin, a direct holder experienced a 25% drawdown, whereas the Arasti Club's strategy resulted in a 9.6% drawdown. During an upward trend, the managed portfolio yielded a 41% return, surpassing the 21% gain of a direct, unmanaged Bitcoin holding.

  • Comparison with S&P 500

    The Arasti Club's Bitcoin portfolio demonstrated less drawdown and significantly higher returns compared to the S&P 500 benchmark over the same period, highlighting the effectiveness of the risk-focused strategy.

  • Importance of Risk Literacy

    The strategy, while seemingly straightforward, emphasizes enhancing participants' risk literacy, as a lack of understanding of risk can lead to capital loss even when market predictions are otherwise correct.

  • Target Audience for Mentorship Program

    The Arasti Club's mentorship program is intended for individuals who comprehend and appreciate market volatility and risk, not for those solely focused on maximizing profits without considering potential losses.

If the portfolio can be managed, the upside will move by itself.

Under Details

AssetWorst Case Drawdown (Direct Holder)Worst Case Drawdown (Arasti Club)Upturn Return (Direct Holder)Upturn Return (Arasti Club)Drawdown ComparisonReturn ComparisonNote
Ethereum54%9.5%19%92%
Bitcoin25%9.6%21%41%
Bitcoin vs. S&P 500Arasti Club < S&P 500Arasti Club > S&P 500Arasti Club's Bitcoin portfolio significantly outperformed the S&P 500 benchmark.

Tags

Investment
RiskManagement
Strategic
ArastiClub
Cryptocurrency
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